Opening. Will update spreadsheet later. Good luck.
Primo's Comet won at 15/2
Good piece on the absurdity of the new whip rules by Greg Wood on Talking Horses this evening. Fair play to him.
I nearly fainted when I read it ,first sensible thing he's done for an age. Only problem is, in will come the ban the whip lot in the comments section.
I read it 3 times checking for a hidden agenda, nothing, good article & I can't believe I just wrote that.
There's a "lively debate" going on as we speak. The referee has already had to reach for his pocket.
Rocambolas won at 4/1.
Ottoman Prince - 16.25 Pontefract
Dream Deal EW Nap 2nd 16/1
Windsor 6.45 - Silver Samurai (each way)
A poor race for the grade and my initial selction, Mister bluebird, is now a NR. I don't think I've ever backed winner at Windsor so erring on the side of caution by going each way.
Unplugged won 13/8.
NAP Gannon Glory 5.00 Pontefract.
Joe, Gannon Glory wins at 13/2......
Primos Comet in the 20:00 at Musselburgh.
I profitably followed the great sage who is EGS advice to back all of AOB's outsiders in the Irish Derby, although it's possible a more detirmined ride by Seamie Hefferman on Adelaide River may have made it even more profitable.
I entered a Trifecta Key Box with AR as the key and the other AOB runners boxed, but decided not to pull the trigger as I felt the cost wasn't worth it. The odds of 158 to 1 proved otherwise.
RIP San Antonio
I meet Stable staff in my Job and I agree that the honour of the first four Home for Ballydoyle would be meaningless to them if they are looking after their particular Pet who didn't come home.
I am no Romanticist as I have just eaten part of an Animal for my lunch but it must be a sad day for Stable Staff opening the Stable Door the next day where there was a Horse who once was there but now just bits of manure and bedding to be cleaned out.
I am not sure about the Adelaide River conspiracy.
Auguste Rodin is workmanlike which I always like.
If Seamie Heffernan did pull the trigger then I think it would only have spurred on Auguste Rodin even more. There is still a Cognitive Bias that will hang around him forever because of the Guineas effort and he cannot be trusted but I will follow him to the Gates Of Hell.
Was loking at Getaman EW but money has come for it ands a skinny 7/2 in a race that could go any way at SouthWell. Will take Well done Dani EW instead in the Southwell 16.45
Ew nap. Round the island. Pontefract 5.00
Nap Barg 3.15 Pont
I don't like Mondays...
Sterling Knight 6.45W nap
in the best race I could find today, where any number could find a bit of form...
Ponte 2.40 next second ew
Nap Ponte 1700 Corinthia Knight
Lost his way but stable in form, loves Ponte and so lowly rated now
Rocambolas - 15.00 Southwell
Dream Deal 14:40 Ponte EW Nap
I am thinking of stopping online betting. I think it is rigged. Yesterday I put 8 Horses in to an e.w. doubles coupon. 2 big prices in the Irish Derby. Adelaide was placed at 40/1. Covent Garden placed at 100/1 and and another placed earlier at 11/4. Yet I made no money. How is that possible?
My nap is Estate in the 17.10
Thanks a lot Pebbles,every day's a school day I would never have known that.
So I got paid out on a miserable 40/1 shot and not the 100/1 shot Covent Garden who I have been backing since his debut and was certain he would get placed to reward my faith.
How is 2 Horses in the same Race relevant to these Actuaries?
I understand the conflict of doing a double of 1st Goalscorer/ Leading at Half Time but not 2 placed Horses
Yes, so it is. I can't account for the bookies actuaries! My guess, however, is that as the odds quoted are calculated on the probability of a horse winning the race, a single event, and the place odds are derived from that, not the probability of them being placed as a double bet which is about two separate events. Two horses cannot win the race at the quoted odds. It's the best I can think of, but someone else will know how to explain the bookies' mathematical reasoning. The only way to combine place bets is with a forecast bet or a reverse forecast or a variation on that as Jake suggests above. Did you back them as single each way bets, too?
The return for a straight forecast is "explained" as follows by Unibet , "If you win on a Straight Forecast your return will be based on a mathematical equation which takes into consideration a multitude of factors i.e. how many horses/dogs involved in the race and the respective odds on them (among other things). This is also referred to as the official industry forecast return."
Current form on here is dismal: refused/last/4th/last/4th (both 4ths distant). Unplugged 2.20P.
We Still Believe 4.10 Southwell is the nap,well done yesterday's winners.