Monday July 3rd 2023

I nearly fainted when I read it ,first sensible thing he's done for an age. Only problem is, in will come the ban the whip lot in the comments section.

I read it 3 times checking for a hidden agenda, nothing, good article & I can't believe I just wrote that.

There's a "lively debate" going on as we speak. The referee has already had to reach for his pocket.

Joe, Gannon Glory wins at 13/2......

I meet Stable staff in my Job and I agree that the honour of the first four Home for Ballydoyle would be meaningless to them if they are looking after their particular Pet who didn't come home.

I am no Romanticist as I have just eaten part of an Animal for my lunch but it must be a sad day for Stable Staff opening the Stable Door the next day where there was a Horse who once was there but now just bits of manure and bedding to be cleaned out.

I am not sure about the Adelaide River conspiracy.

Auguste Rodin is workmanlike which I always like.

If Seamie Heffernan did pull the trigger then I think it would only have spurred on Auguste Rodin even more. There is still a Cognitive Bias that will hang around him forever because of the Guineas effort and he cannot be trusted but I will follow him to the Gates Of Hell.

Thanks a lot Pebbles,every day's a school day I would never have known that.

So I got paid out on a miserable 40/1 shot and not the 100/1 shot Covent Garden who I have been backing since his debut and was certain he would get placed to reward my faith.

How is 2 Horses in the same Race relevant to these Actuaries?

I understand the conflict of doing a double of 1st Goalscorer/ Leading at Half Time but not 2 placed Horses

Yes, so it is. I can't account for the bookies actuaries! My guess, however, is that as the odds quoted are calculated on the probability of a horse winning the race, a single event, and the place odds are derived from that, not the probability of them being placed as a double bet which is about two separate events. Two horses cannot win the race at the quoted odds. It's the best I can think of, but someone else will know how to explain the bookies' mathematical reasoning. The only way to combine place bets is with a forecast bet or a reverse forecast or a variation on that as Jake suggests above. Did you back them as single each way bets, too?

The return for a straight forecast is "explained" as follows by Unibet , "If you win on a Straight Forecast your return will be based on a mathematical equation which takes into consideration a multitude of factors i.e. how many horses/dogs involved in the race and the respective odds on them (among other things). This is also referred to as the official industry forecast return."