A scrambly weekend all round, though JD landed a good 28/1 place on Sunday. If I've left anyone out, I apologise; please leave a message on this thread and I'll update.
William Hill offer NRMB for the Randox Grand National – EW to 5 places. At 100/1 I think Hill Sixteen is 3 or 4 times the price he should be. He has yet to be seen this season, but that is a deliberate tactic from his trainer Sandy Thomson, who specialises in staying chasers.
A few weeks ago Sandy said:
Last season we got him out of Nigel Twiston-Davies’s stable and on only his second run for us he put up a career-best effort when a nose second behind Snow Leopardess in the Becher Chase, and that was followed by a good fourth in the Listed Sky Bet Chase at Doncaster. This season I thought the Grand National Trial at Haydock would be ideal, but as it falls the weekend before the National weights are announced he will not be going there. I have no intention of running him before the Aintree weights are out so he will go for either the Premier Chase or the Eider. This fellow is a proper stayer.
Hill Sixteen is 10. Aside from that nose defeat in the 2021 Becher Chase, he was 7th of 22 in the 2022 running. Currently on an official rating of 143 he ought to get into the final field, especially this year with such a reduced entry.
I strongly recommend a fiver EW on him, and you can have some fun by putting him in some small multiple bets with some of your Cheltenham fancies.
Enraged won the 18.00 dundalk at 4/1
Our Sam won at 14/1.
Nice to see Suzi Best having a winner at Lingfield today with Good Time Ahead. That's two wins on the bounce in the last few days - maybe there is a good time ahead for the yard at last. I still believe she and her husband Jim were the recipients of rough justice from the BHA inquiry several years back, one of a series of controversial and shambolic hearings where the reputation of racing's governing body was in tatters. Jim's name has been added as joint trainer as of earlier this month, which is great because they were always a proper team when his name was above the door.
I've just checked Suzi's stats, and she is really operating at the basement level. Since taking over the licence the yard has had 27 winners with prizemoney of £99,000 - an average pot of £3,666 per winner. That really is chickenfeed. In fact it would feed only a very small flock of chickens.
A very warm tribute to Tom Scudamore today on the RP's The Front Page programme today. It is a welcome antidote to the awfully sour and ungenerous posts on TH over the weekend. There are regulars on there who seem to hate racing or at least revel in all the negative stories flying around. Of course, racing doesn't help itself with its capacity for self-harm. Chris Cook virtually had his head in his hands when talking about Julie Harrington's speech at the Global Racing shindig on the whip issue.
1830 newc my duty e/w
Morning Line was an also-ran in the Lingfield 1.30. I note the dam is named Blodge. A very good word for some of the stuff on the programme of the same name.
United Force in the 18:30 at Newcastle.
Hill Sixteen is one of my trackers. No idea why he is, but Joe mentioning him as a potential GN winner fully justifies my then thought process from a couple of years ago.
Our Sam - 16.25 Carlisle
Destiny is All 15:15 Carl Nap
Captain Zebo Carlisle 15.50. i'm so far out with the washing this month i'll go on the nose for the nap though will bet EW.
Betfair offers only 33s on its Sportsbook for Hill Sixteen - 130s on the Exchange.
40/1 Doctor Dex looks big to me, so I'll make him the ew nap.
Nap Carlisle 1515 Marsh Wren
though you do fear for such a little bird in high winds
Carlisle 3.15 - Dog Of War (each way)
Dindin 3.35 Lingfield is todays nap,well done yesterday Jonathan.
Post chaise 3.15C.
Supasunrise - 16.45 Lingfield