Naps Table Update
Well done Highflying, Sunday's only winner that I can see. If I've left anyone out, I apologise; please leave a message on this thread and I'll update.
Thanks again for the GN responses. I find it very interesting and surprising that the vast majority would rather go the 30-runner route, which implies acceptance that the number of runners is the problem. The slipperiest of slopes, in my view. At what point would a line be drawn in the ever-reducing limit: 20, 15, 10? And even then we could still see participants dying. And there is no way of backtracking unless authorities want to openly admit they should never have started down that road. You'd risk all this to avoid a radical break with tradition on how the race is started, and how the handicap is executed? I'm not saying you are wrong, not at all; just expressing my surprise at how deeply heritage and tradition matters to many who've been at the game long enough to absorb and treasure the history.
I plan to work something out this week to hand over to the deputies by the end of the month. I think I need a long break from racing!
Good luck today
Joe
Lord Lariat 40/1 won.
Coin Basket 10/3 Won
The betting percentage on the Irish National is between 140% and 149% !!!
Sainte Doctor wins at evens for the nap.
Lord Lariat EW in the Irish GN @ 1700 is the NAP.
Hardy Boy won at 5/2.
Coin Basket 16:30 Fake Nap
The first at Kemp has come under my beady as Gay K's horse ran away on debut and she said it could be up to Queen Anne entry. It should piss this if it is. On the other hand Eve J-H's has been backed in to fav from 5s last night and I don't have hers down as a gambling stable. Actually makes Ocean Cloud a decent price now.
My Astra in the 16:05 at Kempton Park
NAP Mister Fogpatches 5.00 Fairyhouse. The Irish National always was a nightmare as regards finding the winner, no different today!!
Sainte doctor. Plumpton 4.37 for nap. Loads of racing today obvious from classic contenders to Irish national.
Good luck those investing.
Don't stay away too long Joe. I know those books won't write themselves but always good to read your thoughts
Diol Ker -17.00 Fairyhouse is today's nap
Whiskey sour nap (fairyhouse 15:50)
I've whittled the Irish National down to 4, so you can cross these off. Gaillard du Mesnil the fav a small win only the logic being 'if in doubt just back Mullins' but he's looking a bit of a herd animal with all those 3s and the odds are too short to warrant an ew bet. Diol Ker appeals after the Leinster but up in the weights and his best runs seem to be on heavy. Max Flamingo gets a small ew on the grounds of that he is way shorter than winning an egg and spoon beginners at Thurles should be so somebody has put their money on and finally
Nap Mount Ida
as the trainer has plenty for Russell to choose from, he's won a Kim Muir, beaten Elimay over shorter so has pace and the ground is fine. Unseated at the first at Aintree so that shouldn't have taken too much out of him. He was a big price there, but so was the winner.
Hi Joe, people are creatures of habit, and the more you practice your habit, the more ingrained these habits become.
I think, on current trends, the GN will eventually become a virtual reality event (like the 2020 race) . You can run as many horses as you like, you can be aboard your mount around the course from the comfort of your couch, and there are no "meat space" risks such as horses dying, falling, overuse of the whip (as there won't be any), jockeys being injured etc..
NAP is Smoking Gun 5.00 Fairyhouse
Nap 5.00 Fairyhouse - Full Time Score
Hardy Boy - 13.55 Huntingdon is today’s rather uninspiring nap.
Kauto Riko 3.20 Fakenham is todays nap,well done yesterday Highflying.
Darosso in the 15.50 at Fairyhouse is my preferred nap but is he going to turn up?
He has DNAed (Did Not Attend, past tense) on 4 of his last 7 starts on the day of the Race.
He knows when he is due to be loaded and decides to become a Bronte swooning Heroine.
I note he can avoid Breakfast on the day of the Race as he is clever and knows that also works.
My safer nap is Janidil in the 16.20 at Fairyhouse.
I'm not in the naps table (short on time), but I think Screaming Colours, at 11, away at the wrong end of the price range, is a good EW bet at 22/1 to 7 places with Hills in the Irish National. Lightly raced for his age and apparently improving in chunks, interesting to see the usual claimer replaced by Jamie Codd.